Run Line Bet Football
- If you bet on them to cover the run line, they would have to win the game by 2 or more runs. If they only won by a single run, your bet would crash and burn.
- The runline is basically a form of spread betting designed specifically for baseball. It differs from spread betting in NBA and NFL in that it isn’t meant to equally handicap the game. Because baseball is a low scoring game, even adding a single run to a game tips the balance significantly. Runline simply adds or subtracts runs from the final score of the game to give sports bettors a different betting.
Dec 7, 2019; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback Justin Fields (1) reacts against the Wisconsin Badgers during the first half in the 2019 Big Ten Championship Game at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Bet if the score is going to be above or below the over/under odds. The over/under is a single number that’s usually listed for football games, and the number refers to the total number of points both teams score. If you think the teams will score more points than the number listed, then bet over.
The third-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will look for revenge when they square off against the second-ranked Clemson Tigers in the second College Football Playoff semifinal on Friday. The Buckeyes have lost each of their last three meetings against Clemson, including last year's 29-23 defeat in the Fiesta Bowl. Ohio State, who's making its fourth College Football Playoff appearance, enters the 2021 Sugar Bowl averaging 529.2 yards per game on offense. Clemson, meanwhile, is holding its opponents to just 17.5 points per game this season.
Kickoff from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans is set for 8 p.m. ET. The Tigers are favored by seven points in the latest Clemson vs. Ohio State odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 68. Before making any Ohio State vs. Clemson picks, you need to see what college football expert Barrett Sallee has to say.
Sallee is a true insider -- a CBS Sports analyst, SiriusXM host, Heisman voter and consistently one of the top CBS Sports experts picking games against the spread -- and his best bets have helped bring in huge returns. He debuted with SportsLine in 2017 and has delivered in a big way.
He went 59-35-2 (63 percent, plus $2,037) on all his college football picks for SportsLine in 2019, and he entered the week on a sizzling 74-45 streak on his best bets since the start of last year. In addition, Sallee has a keen eye for Clemson. In fact, he has gone an incredible 11-2 on his last 13 against-the-spread picks involving the Tigers. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, he has locked in on Ohio State vs. Clemson and released another confident against-the-spread pick. Go here to see it. Here are the college football odds and trends for Clemson vs. Ohio State:
- Ohio State vs. Clemson spread: Tigers -7
- Ohio State vs. Clemson over-under: 68 points
- Ohio State vs. Clemson money line: Clemson -290, Ohio State +235
- OSU: The Buckeyes are 3-3 against the spread in their last six games
- CLEM: The Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 bowl games
Why Clemson can cover
Clemson is often heralded for its explosive offense. The Tigers are scoring 44.9 points per game this season, which ranks third in the nation. However, it has been their defense that has helped lead the Tigers to three straight wins. Clemson ranks sixth nationally in total defense, giving up 298.5 yards per game. The defense has wreaked havoc all season, recording 17 sacks, six interceptions and 10 fumble recoveries.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Tigers are led by Heisman Trophy finalist Trevor Lawrence. The junior signal caller has thrown for 2,753 yards, 22 touchdowns against just four interceptions this season. He's also been a factor on the ground, rushing for 211 yards and seven touchdowns. Also leading the charge for the Tigers is running back Travis Etienne, who's ran for 882 yards and 13 touchdowns.
Why Ohio State can cover
Ohio State is just 3-3 against the spread this season, but the Buckeyes feature one of the most explosive ground games in college football. In fact, Ohio State is averaging 275.7 rushing yards per game, the fifth-best mark in the country. Trey Sermon and Master Teague III have combined for nearly 1,125 yards in just six games, while quarterback Justin Fields has rushed for 274 yards and five touchdowns.
Ohio State's defense is allowing just 21.0 points per game this season. Pete Werner and Tommy Togiai are the standouts for a unit that has forced 16 turnovers. Werner has a team-high 37 tackles while Togiai has recorded three sacks. Shaun Wade has also been making an impact, with three passes defended and two interceptions.
How to make Clemson vs. Ohio State picks
Sallee has analyzed this matchup from all sides and he is leaning under on the total. He also has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing it at SportsLine.
So who wins Clemson vs. Ohio State in the Sugar Bowl? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Ohio State vs. Clemson spread you should be all over, all from the expert who is 11-2 in his last 13 against-the-spread picks involving the Tigers.
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Best MLB Bets on the Moneyline and Run Line
By Mike HayesAs we approach the mid-point of the MLB season the Tigers continue their reign as the most profitable wager both on the moneyline and run line. They have been a cash machine, producing $2,038 up to this point on the moneyline and $1,897 on the run line.
Run Line Bet Football Odds
But the Tigers appear to be the exception to the rule as trends indicate that profitability on the moneyline has little bearing on how a given team will fare when being bet on the run line.
Betting the run line can be an enticing proposition, especially when laying the required 1.5 run. If you think a team is capable of winning by a single run it is only logical to think they can win by two, so why not take the extra dough? In fact, the odds are with you, as the majority of games are not decided by a single run.
The problem is that some teams, regardless of how good they might be, are bad run-line bets and others, regardless of how bad they might be, fair pretty well on the run line.
The Mets, the second most profitable moneyline team at $1,143, have been a disaster on the run line. They are 31-37 for a deficit of $519, a figure that has come down significantly of late thanks to an eight-game win streak that included a number of blowout wins.
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What makes the Mets a bad run line bet is that they lead the league with an 18-8 mark in one-run games. As a favorite most nights that means a lot of half-run loses for the run line player backing the Mets.
The Red Sox and Twins are the only other teams that show a profit on the moneyline and a significant loss on the run line. The Sox are up $567 on the moneyline and down $657 on the run line. The Twins are up $150 on the moneyline and down $800 as a run-line proposition.
The Pirates, on the other hand, have been the second-biggest money burner in all of baseball on the moneyline at minus-$1666. But they are the third most profitable team in MLB on the run line where they are an astonishing plus-$1,016. The reason for the Bucs 42-29 record is the opposite of the Mets; they have a woeful 7-21 mark in one-run games. Because the Bucs find themselves as dogs most days this translates to a lot of half-run wins for the run line player who backs them.
Like the Pirates, the Yankees, Phillies and Mariners are also teams that have been losers on the moneyline but winners as a run-line bet. In the case of the Yankees, who are at minus-$388 but about $50 ahead on the run line, it is because they tend to be solid favorites and when they lose it hits the wallet a bit harder. Because of their potent offense, however, they are more likely to win by a margin of better than a single run so it makes sense to lay runs when betting the Bombers. The Phillies, who have lost a lot of games as favorites thanks to an 18-23 home record, are minus-$900 on the moneyline and are showing a very modest $40 profit on the run line. The Mariners are down $400 on the moneyline but up $230 on the run line. Those differences are negligible and do not really constitute a meaningful trend at this point.
Among the most profitable run-line wagers have been the Rangers, who have posted a $1,307 profit, second to the Tigers. Thanks to their recent monster winning streak, the Athletics are now up $1,158. The Rangers' success on the run line can be attributed to their 8-14 record in one run games, but perhaps more so to an offense that is capable of overcoming their own lousy pitching. The A's have a nice balance of pitching and offense that results in winning margins of better than a single run.
The White Sox, third in terms of moneyline profitability at $1,072, have also been solid for run line players, earning $799.
The Astros, although just a couple of games over .500 on the season, are a major league worst minus-$1,673 on the run line, a trend attributable to a 14-6 record in one-run games and one of the weaker offensive teams in the league. The Angels are right behind them, losing backers $1,494 due in large part because they have disappointed as favorites often early in the season. That results in losing a fair number of games in which they were laying runs.
The Orioles are a shade behind the Angles at minus-$1,483 followed by the Royals, who are minus-$1,250 on the moneyline as well as the run line.
Send questions and comments to mike@docsports.com
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